Restructuring expenses
26/6/16
Many declining revenues while expenditure needs of growing with the latest
forecast is the budget deficit in 2016 has far exceeded the risk of being
targeted by the National Assembly that makes the Ministry of Finance indeed
worried .
Reporting before the National Assembly Standing Committee a few days ago,
Finance Minister Dinh Tien Dung said that the 2016 budget deficit strive at
4.95% of GDP. However, forecasts from a number of international organizations
to find possibilities budget deficit will be much higher. It can happen if looking
at the numbers nearly 70,000 billion deficit of the budget in the first 5
months.
Unbalanced condition of spending budget is weighing when many locals
achieve revenue targets at low level. Total domestic revenue after 5 months is
at only 40.9% of the estimate. In particular, revenues from state-owned
enterprise sector is very low, only 28.8% of the estimate.
World oil prices plunged in earlier months of the year 2016 has made oil
revenues also declined, only 29.2% of the estimate and 48.1% decrease in
comparison of the same period last year. Net revenue from export and import
operations by 37.8% estimate only.
It is not without reason when President Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Takehiko Nakao once again highlighted the need to "improve" the
recurrent expenditures of the government if we do not want the economy will face
difficulty in the context of Vietnam's public debt is about 65% of GDP.
In order to curb the budget deficit constant, according to leaders of the
ADB, the Government should enhance domestic revenues and spending review in the
context of domestic debt is constantly increasing. Besides the need to
diversify revenue sources, the strengthening of debt management is also
important. In fact, to achieve safe, sustainability for the budget, it's time
the financial sector needs to be restructured revenues.
The restructuring revenues, according to economist Vu Dinh Anh, have
deemed urgent task. As long as the revenues for the state budget relies on
revenue from import and export activities, the exploitation of resources, as
long as that revenue structure is not really sustainable.
If the Government does not want to continue operating the state budget as
at present, we need to quickly restructure and avoid revenue from depending a
few large revenues or the revenues that basis taxes have increased volatility.
To achieve this objective, there should be radical solutions to promote
production and business operations development, creating opportunities for
small and medium business sector to play a more important role in the economy.
These changes will help Vietnam reduce debt pressure in the context of only two
years to go until the time when Vietnam will not get loans with preferential
interest rates as today.
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