Oil extends crash into new year as glut fears deepen
7/1/15
The selloff in
global oil markets showed little signs of slowing in the new year, with
prices down as much as 6 percent on Monday, the lowest since spring
2009, as fears deepened a supply glut that has vexed the market for six
months would continue.
U.S crude crashed
below $50 a barrel while benchmark Brent tumbled under $53 after data
showed Russian oil output at post-Soviet era highs and Iraqi oil exports
near 35-year peaks.
U.S. driller ConocoPhillips (
COP.N) added to the bearish mood by announcing it struck first oil at a Norwegian North Sea project.
Top crude exporter
Saudi Arabia
revealed it made deep cuts to its monthly oil prices for European buyers
ARM-OSP-E, the sixth time since June it has slashed prices,
corresponding with the rout in crude futures markets over the period.
Analysts
read the latest cut as reflecting Saudi Arabia's fierce defence of its
market share. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
kingpin also trimmed its prices for U.S. refiners ARM-OSP-N for a sixth
straight month, while raising rates for Asia.
The
euro's tumble to 2006 lows, and slower-than-expected growth in U.S.
manufacturing, completed the perfect storm for the oil markets.
"There's
no doubt that we have a combination of supplies hitting their zenith at
a time when demand is weakening," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price
Futures Group in Chicago.
U.S. crude
CLc1 settled down $2.65, or 5 percent, at $50.04 a barrel, and was at a
post-settlement low of $49.77 by 3:15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT). The last time U.S. crude traded below $50 was in April 2009.
Front-month
Brent LCOc1 closed down $3.31, or almost 6 percent, at $53.11 a barrel.
It dropped earlier to $52.66, its lowest since May 2009.
Oil has plunged nearly 55 percent in value since June, when Brent traded above $117 a barrel and
U.S. crude above $107.
The
selloff, which began on concerns of oversupply in high quality U.S.
shale crude, accelerated after the OPEC meeting in November, when Saudi Arabia
ruled out production cuts as a means of boosting prices. The kingdom
reasoned that reducing output will hurt its market share instead.
Some traders seem certain that U.S. crude
will be trading in the $40 region later in the week if weekly oil
inventory numbers for the United States on Wednesday show another supply
build.
"We're headed for
a four-handle," said Tariq Zahir, managing member at Tyche Capital
Advisors in Laurel Hollow in New York. "Maybe not today, but I’m sure
when you get the inventory numbers that come out this week, we
definitely will."
Open interest for $40-$50 strike puts in U.S. crude
have risen several fold since the start of December, while $20-$30 puts
for June 2015 have traded, said Stephen Schork, editor of
Pennsylvania-based The Schork Report.
Russia's
oil output hit a post-Soviet high last year, averaging 10.58 million
barrels per day (bpd), up 0.7 percent thanks to small non-state
producers, Energy Ministry data showed.
Iraq's
oil exports were at their highest since 1980 in December, an oil
ministry spokesman said, with record sales from the country's southern
terminals.
The Russian and
Iraqi data overshadowed reports of drops in Libya's oil output because
of conflict in that country. Libya's oil output has fallen to around
380,000 bpd after the closure of the OPEC producer's biggest oil port,
Es Sider, along with another oil port, Ras Lanuf.
All comments [ 10 ]
Prices dropped after Saudi Arabia lowered prices of exports to the US and the US oil reserves rose to 2.3 million barrels. International newswires reported that Saudi Arabia was kicking off a battle for larger oil market share.
The oil prices will continue to fall, have said the price fluctuations would affect Vietnam’s economy.
In order to obtain projected revenue in the context of oil price fluctuations, Vietnam would have to adjust the targeted exploitation and export volume.
One of the factors influencing the state budget revenue is oil exploitation costs in Vietnam.
Vietnam exports crude oil, but it has to import finished petroleum products. The government gains a great deal of revenue from imposing different kinds of taxes on the imports. It is estimated that taxes alone account for a high percentage of petrol prices.
As the crude oil prices fall in the world market, Vietnam will have to slash retail petrol selling prices.
It is consumers who will be the biggest beneficiaries from the oil and petrol price decreases.
The national economy would also benefit because businesses can cut transport fees and production costs.
In turn, they can then sell products at lower prices, which could help stimulate domestic demand.
The oil price plunge has affected the prices of oil exploitation and distribution companies worldwide. Vietnamese oil and gas firms will also suffer, both in the short and long term.
Your comments