Vietnam needs a comprehensive approach to public debt (Part 2 and end)
20/7/15
At the formal meeting with the
delegation of Finance and Budget Committee of Parliament Vietnam at the Greek
Ministry of Finance, Mr. Osman Yarasli, Deputy Minister of Finance said:
Greece's public debt accrual within 15 years based on private consumption loans
as liquidity of the global financial market at high level and they were
affected by the global financial crisis in 2008, private debt converted into
government debt as a series of nations required liquidity to private banks.
Then the budget deficit at a high level for many years because of government’s
spending in social welfare plus the weaknesses in tax administration related to
corruption. The GDP fell rapidly from 300 billion in 2006 before the crisis to
about $200 billion in 2014, making the repayment capacity more difficult. The
problem now for Greece
is moderating tax reform and economic growth to generate revenue to repay. They
all need a reasonable roadmap to resolve and make sure Greece will perform all well.
According to the experience of Greece, Vietnam needs a comprehensive
approach to public debt. From debt limits in the overall strategy of public
debt for 10 years and borrowing and repayment plan of medium-term in 3 years;
effective use of loans; do not enact policies beyond the budget balance. First of
all, Vietnam needs to reduce the budget deficit to the lowest level by using
excessive amounts of annual budget to pay debt, strives to reduce the budget
deficit down to 3 to 4% per year; thrift in regular spending through downsizing
and administrative reform in a practical way. Especial, Vietnam
should only borrow to finance investment and development, do not borrow for regular
spending. Besides, Vietnam
needs to continue macroeconomic stability and Vietnam’s currency value, maintaining
sustainable growth. Only then we will keep public debt safe.
The most important issue remains the
effective use of loans. Using loans effectively for economic infrastructure
development, basic social as a foundation to promote the production, from which
the government has revenues to repay. If we use inefficient loans, spread
investment, construction projects in progress, the total investment to increase
and prolong the project implementation, slow and put into use, embezzlement,
corruption causing loss of financial resources ... will gradually lead to loss
of ability to repay. Besides, the issue of social policy should be based on the
tolerance of the state budget.
With the strict rules of law,
enhancement of transparency in lending and using loans, repayment, regular
supervision of Parliament, the public debt problems of Vietnam always under
control.
All comments [ 11 ]
The public debt crisis in the EU in addition to the current problems of the Vietnamese economy may have a number of negative impacts on it
EU countries have been increasing protectionistic measures to protect domestic industries, resulting in greater dificulties for Vietnamese exports, in addition to competition from other exporters
there was an increase in domestic market competition. In the backdrop of the ongoing public debt crisis and the difficulties challenging the entire global economy, Vietnamese firms are under pressure from foreign investors looking to diversify their market and hedge risks.
To promote high growth, Vietnam had promoted investment very strongly and over an extended period had had an investment-to-GDP ratio, rating second only behind China.
in order to manage and prevent public debt crisis, the most pressing requirement is an effective governmental regulatory mechanism in order to control financial activities and the flows of financial sources.
it is necessary to properly manage and improve efficiency of state investment. In the long term, state investment needs to be actively reduced while investment from non-budget sources needs to increase relative to total social investment; shift the focus of state investment outside of economic activities so as to concentrate on social and infrastructural investment.
state-owned corporations and enterprises diversifying investment outside of their main business and production must cease.
State-owned enterprises should be concentrated on key industries of the national economy, mainly those related to and dealing with socio-economic infrastructure, public services and those pertaining to macroeconomic stability.
systemic stability, prevention of side effects and debt “traps” and practical efficiency in both SOE and financial-banking sector restructuring should be ensured.
At the same time, proper care should be taken to effectively handle such matters as firm acquisitions and mergers, unemployment insurance and social welfare.
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