Why the United States and Vietnam Urgently Need to Deepen Ties
12/9/15
"Beijing is increasingly demonstrating to Hanoi that it aspires to
regional hegemony and will trample the rights of any country that stands
in its way..."
But China’s latest provocation presents an opportunity to overcome
these dynamics. Beijing is increasingly demonstrating to Hanoi that it
aspires to regional hegemony and will trample the rights of any country
that stands in its way, thereby providing a powerful argument to those
seeking deeper U.S.-Vietnamese ties.
Vietnam’s pro-U.S. faction should immediately push to grant the
United States greater access to Vietnamese military facilities. Vietnam
can retain control of them, but it should grant American forces
rotational access and allow them to build new infrastructure and
pre-position equipment. Washington will be able to project power into
the South China Sea more easily and Beijing will be deterred from
harassing Hanoi. Vietnam should also grant the U.S. Navy more port
visits (currently limited to one per year) and provide access to its
most strategically important deep-water port, Cam Ranh Bay.
On the economic front, Hanoi should continue to implement the reforms
called for by the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the free-trade
agreement currently being negotiated among twelve Pacific Rim countries.
By joining the TPP, Vietnam can reduce its economic dependence on
China, thereby affording it greater freedom to pursue its own national
interests even when they conflict with China’s. Finally, Vietnam must
improve its human rights to foster stronger ties with the United States.
Washington, meanwhile, must reciprocate. First, even after slightly
easing its ban on lethal-arms sales to Vietnam, the United States has
been slow to shore up that country’s military capabilities due to
human-rights concerns. The United States should continue to push Vietnam
to improve its human-rights record, while making available to Hanoi
maritime surveillance and other naval technologies, which do not
threaten the Vietnamese people. Second, President Obama should make the
South China Sea and China’s mistreatment of Vietnam central talking
points during
Chinese president Xi Jinping’s upcoming Washington visit,
thereby signaling to Vietnam that the United States takes these
aggressions against Vietnam seriously and is not shy about confronting
China. Third, the United States should integrate Vietnam deeper into its
other regional security relationships, including by encouraging it to
co-develop weapons, inviting it to participate in multilateral military
exercises and to conduct joint naval patrols, and incentivizing it to
buy U.S., European and Japanese arms. Easing Vietnam away from Russian
military technology (Moscow is currently Hanoi’s main arms supplier)
would also bolster Vietnam’s interoperability with the United States and
its allies and increase those countries’ military contacts. Fourth, the
United States must conclude the TPP soon, which will benefit the United
States and Vietnam, both strategically and economically.
Hanoi can become one of Washington’s best partners to counter
Beijing’s rise. Vietnam abuts the South China Sea, and it borders China.
It has the world’s fourteenth-largest population, thirteenth-largest
active-duty military force, and as a proportion of GDP, Vietnam is
Southeast Asia’s second-largest defense spender. The country’s economy
is projected to become the world’s seventeenth largest in ten years. And
Vietnam would be a strong military partner for the United States,
having often successfully confronted bigger and better-armed foes.
The United States and Vietnam must elevate their relationship. Doing so
will signal that the Washington remains committed to countering a rising
China at a time when regional countries are hedging, uncertain of
whether the United States has what it takes to stand up to Beijing’s
aggression. A strong U.S.-Vietnam partnership may also help to slow
Chinese expansionism by demonstrating how counterproductive its behavior
is—even driving former foes to ally against it.
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